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Israeli Opposition Parties Lead Netanyahu’s Bloc in Poll Ahead of Elections

Accra:Parties opposed to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are projected to win 67 of the 120 seats in the Knesset, while his ruling coalition is expected to secure 49 seats, according to a recent poll. The elections are scheduled for October 27.

According to Anadolu Agency, the Channel 12 survey indicates that Zionist parties opposed to Netanyahu would receive 54 seats, and Arab parties would secure 13 seats. Additionally, a group described as the 'third bloc' is projected to obtain four seats. A majority of 61 seats is necessary to form a government.

The poll, conducted on October 12, sampled 509 individuals aged 18 and older and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. The Yashar party, led by former army chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, led the poll with 23 seats, while Netanyahu's Likud party is projected to win 20 seats, a decrease of one seat from a prior survey by the channel.

Naftali Bennett's Beyachad party maintained 13 seats, whereas Yair Golan's Democrats party and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party each garnered nine seats. The Joint List, under Yousef Jabareen, and Aryeh Deri's ultra-Orthodox Shas party, along with Itamar Ben-Gvir's Jewish Power party, are each expected to win eight seats.

Yaakov Asher's United Torah Judaism party is projected to receive seven seats, and the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and politician Moshe Feiglin, is expected to gain six seats. Mansour Abbas' United Arab List would add five seats to the Arab parties' total, bringing them to 13 seats collectively. The joint Reservists-Economic party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha, is forecasted to secure four seats.

On the question of suitability for prime minister, Eisenkot leads Netanyahu by 45% to 35%, increasing his advantage to 10 percentage points from the previous three. Bennett also surpasses Netanyahu with 37% compared to 36% for the incumbent prime minister. However, Netanyahu maintains a lead over Avigdor Lieberman by 35% to 27%, though the gap has narrowed from 17 to eight percentage points since the last survey. Channel 12 reports that about 8% of respondents remain undecided on their voting preference.

Netanyahu has led the current government since December 2022, heading a coalition often described as the most right-wing in Israel's history.