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US Consumer Confidence Declines Sharply in June, Missing Market Expectations

New York: The Conference Board's US Consumer Confidence Index experienced a significant drop of 5.4 points, settling at 93 in June, according to data released on Tuesday. This decline reverses the upward trend observed in the previous month. According to Anadolu Agency, the index for May was revised upwards to 98.4 points, while markets had anticipated the June figure to reach 99.4. The Present Situation Index, which gauges American consumers' views on current job and labor market conditions, decreased by 6.4 points to 129.1 in June. Meanwhile, the Expectations Index, reflecting consumers' short-term outlook on income, employment, and labor market conditions, fell by 4.6 points to 69. The Expectations Index remained well below the threshold of 80, a level that typically signals an anticipated recession within the next year. "Consumer confidence weakened in June, erasing almost half of May's sharp gains," commented Stephanie Guichard, senior economist at the Conference Board. Guichard explained that consumer s' assessments of current circumstances and future expectations contributed to the decline, with a noted decrease in optimism regarding current business conditions compared to May. Guichard further elaborated that the evaluations of future income, employment prospects, and business conditions-all components of the Expectations Index-experienced declines. Key factors influencing consumer perceptions, such as concerns over tariffs and their impact on pricing and the economy, remained consistent with previous months. In June, there were also heightened concerns about inflation and rising costs. "However, there were a few more mentions of easing inflation compared to last month. This is in line with a cooling in consumers' average 12-month inflation expectations to 6.0% (down from 6.4% in May and 7% in April)," added Guichard.