Erbil: Bafel Talabani, leader of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) in Iraq, has stated that despite rising tensions in Iran, a regime change does not appear imminent. Speaking to Fox News, Talabani shared his insights into the current situation while acknowledging the potential for further escalation following recent attacks by Israel and the United States on Iran.
According to Anadolu Agency, Talabani disclosed details of his conversation with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, where Araghchi conveyed that while Iran does not desire conflict, they are prepared to engage if necessary, considering it an existential issue. Talabani believes that peaceful negotiation remains the viable solution to the ongoing tensions.
Talabani also addressed the idea of unconditional surrender by Tehran, expressing skepticism about such an outcome. He emphasized that the Iranian regime has been preparing for this scenario for decades and is likely to offer significant resistance.
Comparing Iran's current circumstances to pre-2003 Iraq, Talabani noted the absence of a unified opposition against the Iranian regime, unlike the opposition to Saddam Hussein in Iraq. He highlighted the lack of a unifying symbol for dissenters in Iran, which complicates any potential for regime change.
When questioned about Iraq's involvement in cross-border operations with Iranian Kurds, Talabani denied any such actions. He pointed out that Iranians' nationalistic sentiments might unify them against perceived separatist threats, thereby strengthening internal cohesion.
Talabani further assessed Iran's internal framework, acknowledging its weakened state but recognizing the resilience of its institutions. He suggested that once military objectives are met, diplomatic efforts could become pivotal.
Recent reports from US and Israeli media suggested American engagement with Iranian armed groups in Iraq, but US officials have denied these allegations.
The Middle East has experienced heightened tensions since the February 28 attack by the US and Israel on Iran, resulting in over 1,000 deaths, including that of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and numerous senior officials. Iran's subsequent retaliation targeted US bases, diplomatic sites, and multiple Israeli cities.